I've input all the role info I have (i.e. everything except the 4 people who are investigators, desperadoes, priests, and vigilantes) into your evil spreadsheet. The current situation is:
-5 network members (1 dying tomorrow, 1 pair of inactive GNs, 2 ICs)
-3 stalkers (who will be proven innocent as soon as dgrazian is shoveled) (including me)
-2 GNs not in the network (one of whom is slightly distrusted / conscript bait)
-2 group investigators (who so far trust me totally)
-1 pure mafia (you)
-4 people who are investigator, desperado, priest, or vigilante, including at least 2 investigators
Here's what's going to happen tomorrow: -fmajluf7 will reveal as dying GN and become public spokesperson for the GCSN. As soon as andytsai gets back in town, fmajluf7 will take his shovel and use it on dgrazian. This will confirm that dgrazian is pure mafia (modulo my shovel result) and therefore that each other stalker is a real stalker. This increases the size of the GCSN from 5 to 7 (after fmajluf7 dies), including me.
-Alex will appeal directly to fmajluf7 to be added to the network. He will (hopefully) once again be shot down.
-fmajluf7 will probably push for impeaching nastya and electing someone the network trusts. Then, they may or may not count the mafia.
-With no unresolved murders, town will wait until another kill has been made, and then hit it with the full scale of their investigation powers (dictated by the strengthened GCSN).
I feel very sorry for fmajluf7. I'm afraid she'll feel guilty for leaking out all the information to me. I guess I should've tried harder not to gain all the information, but I couldn't help myself... after all, who would conscript ME?! On day 5?!!!!! fmajluf7, if you're reading this after game end, know that it's definitely not your fault that this happened. In fact, I'm pretty sure this doesn't stop town from just sweeping game anyways, given the trust information I've already given you. Oh well, we'll see.
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OK, how do we stop town from steamrolling? Well, we probably don't, but we can try to do some damage first anyways. Things to do:
-Nastya, do you have a role claim yet? If not, you should make one that is not any of IC, GN, stalker, GI, investigator, or mafia. In fact, don't claim desperado because they'll expect you to activate eventually, and don't claim vig because they'll dictate your kill and then kill you anyway. This leaves priest. Claim priest, I think. Make up past and future sinner and saint lists and remember them by heart.
-If you haven't used a count-the-mafia, consider doing so right before being impeached. Well, actually, it's unlikely people will actually get to two mayors away anyway, and if they do we don't want you suspected, so maybe not.
-Is there any way to stop dgrazian from being shoveled? I think a kill on andytsai would look really suspicious (and not very useful, and get the killer caught because Alex), and I don't think I have any excuse for not letting fmajluf7 take the shovel from Andy. So maybe this is a lost cause.
-At this point (post dgrazian shovel) there are literally only 5 people left who could be original mafia from network + innocent sammy perspective. They are Miranda, Sasha, Jordan, brunnerj, and nastya. Well, I suppose one of Alex and andy could be original mafia and the other a conscript, or achester could be original mafia until he reveals in person, but these are easily resolved by townie intelligence. So, I don't think we actually want to kill these people, or it'll just lead to nastya getting lynched earlier. Unfortunately, this means some investigation power will have to be retained by town. Hopefully this can be offset by intelligent framing.
-we should figure out who to poison and do it soon
-If we have an idea of who we want to kill, we should start setting traps. However, we may not want to have too large a number of kills a day if we don't want suspicion that the network has been breached.
-Conversely, perhaps we do want the network to think it has been breached. Currently achester and fmajluf7/ltchin do not trust each other, and csvoss/jessk aren't doing anything. So if we cause explosions, it'll look like their paranoia is justified. Or, we can wait until the stalkers are inducted, then do the explosions. Since I already know all the info, it'll just look like one of the new stalkers (ahem, Lucy) was conscripted.
Other info: -Tuan's watch list is currently me, ltchin, Alex.
idk, what do you think?
Our largest liability - beyond the network's size, the inevitability of shoveling, the smallness of the set of possible original mafia - is that I'm a TERRIBLE mafia. I'm terrible at lying, terrible at making kills without dying of panic, and terrible at having the time to do all this along with pretending to be a reasonable townie and doing the work that I've been punting all weekend to help town get stuff done. But I'll do what I can.
^ Also, wow, it appears I just wrote a very emotionally compelling treatise on the struggles of being a conscript.
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