Live Action Mafia
http://mafia.mit.edu/

Innocent Children should consider revealing today
http://mafia.mit.edu/viewtopic.php?f=253&t=5379
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Author:  Justin [ Thu Feb 16, 2017 1:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Innocent Children should consider revealing today

Dear town,

It has come to my attention that role changing appears to happen only at night. If anyone has any information to the contrary, please say so (go through me or another proxy if you wish). To the extent that you believe this statement, you should also believe that I'm town (or at least started as town).

This being the case, Innocent Children should consider revealing today (I suggest to myself to the extent that you trust me, but at least consider revealing to someone). Any Innocent Child reveals after today should give no update whatsoever on the towniness of the revealer.

Author:  mads [ Thu Feb 16, 2017 2:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Innocent Children should consider revealing today

Justin wrote:
Any Innocent Child reveals after today should give no update whatsoever on the towniness of the revealer.


? this seems strange to me. ICs all start as town. We know they can change to mafia/some other goal by conscription or by sneaky mystery mafia mechanisms. But we don't expect that the majority of people will switch goals. It seems like future IC reveals can reasonably make us update toward town, although we can't take it as proof of innocence. ICs may, however, be more likely to be conscripted than other townies, if they reveal to mafia members.

Am I off mark here? Just confused as to why you're arguing for no update whatsoever - that seems too extreme to me.

Author:  Justin [ Thu Feb 16, 2017 2:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Innocent Children should consider revealing today

To clarify, I'm talking about role changing, not goal changing. Non-town aligned players can easily gain the ability to make IC incants after today.

Author:  mads [ Thu Feb 16, 2017 2:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Innocent Children should consider revealing today

Mmm, my bad. That makes sense, we don't really have any information on how easily mafia could change into ICs.

Author:  pravinas [ Thu Feb 16, 2017 3:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Innocent Children should consider revealing today

A guess with reasonable priors is that special roles are based on one night ultimate werewolf, which hasn't all manner of fucky role changing abilities. So I think it'd be really really easy for roles to switch around at night. Including with innocent children and the mafia.

Author:  pravinas [ Thu Feb 16, 2017 3:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Innocent Children should consider revealing today

*which has

it very much has a lot of role changing abilities

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