Okay, so for posterity...
Life is unfortunate. I am not mayor, which would have been nice. I should have jumped on that void instead of letting Arkhipov do it. I have both fake IDs, so I have 3 voting power. Having 5 from being mayor would be nice. I get a free kill on Erin when I feel like it. Want to kill Alex eventually both because he's mayor and generally good at the game. Preferably while the police officer is dead so they don't get the investigator.
Unfortunately, we've burned a /lot/ of abilities, including the frame, which is a problem. I doubt I can pull this through, but we'll see. If I ever hit an ironheart or medkit, I'm screwed. Town also is missing all but one medkit, but still...
The derp with Shi-ke and the mafia count is nice. But I don't know what I can get out of that. We'll see how that develops.
Sheep left: adehnert Alex andrealincoln CarrieL Eric Yang ermain shikexue swooton theo
Without being mayor, I have as much voting power as the mayor. Alex has to die. There's no way around that. If he's ironheart, the only way I can do this is by poisoning him. Otherwise, gg. But the same risk exists with everyone else. It's... possible I can find an inactive and dupe them into revealing their role to me? That would certainly simplify ironheart guessing. If that works, that means I poison Alex.
If I poison someone today, day 4, they will be assumed innocent days 5 and 6 and die at the start of day 7. Days 4, 5, and 6 will ideally each have a kill and a lynch. Then there will be two people (one person if I cash in on the Erin freebie) left, if I survive that long, and I will win without being mayor. (And there will be too few people to elect one.) In addition, I will not be mayor if I poison someone. If I poison Alex, he will stay mayor until he dies. If I poison someone else, as soon as I kill Alex, he's the obvious choice for mayor.
If I don't use poison, there's no guaranteed-innocent person. That's good, I guess? Then I can try for mayor and end the game earlier. In that case, I need five people dead, not seven. That doesn't seem that much easier? Three killed and two lynched. One can be an Erin combo. One must be Alex.
Conclusion: I should have done this calculation earlier and poisoned someone day 3. Decide by the end of day 4 whether to poison Alex. Also try to dupe some inactives.
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