I think this is definitely anybody's game. On one hand, town isn't really suspicious of any mafia right now (I only had minor suspicions, which were wrong), and Lily Chen is a very good mafia leader (She said something about me conscripting dukhovni if I were mafia, and I nearly laughed and said, "No, I would conscript you!") Plus, various townies are suspicious of each other (isaacg and dukhovni being suspicion targets), and mafia knows Sam's role.
On the other hand, every non-don who has made a kill has been lynched. Plus, Dgrazian and Asya, two very competent players, are now confirmed innocent. Dukhovni is still mayor and is starting to become more invested in game. Mafia gave themselves away a lot with the lynch last night, with 5/8 of the votes for Dukhovni being from mafia-aligned players, while none of the votes for Ama were. If someone eventually notices this, mafia would be in a very bad position.
The vampires are all dead (with two of them being lynched), and so mafia won't be getting any more kabooms, but town also won't get more innocence checks. If town pays attention to my explanation for conscription being used, that would be great. Town has a ton of desperadoes alive, most of whom aren't priority kills, as well as good number of conspiracy theorists, so if mafia uses up their kabooms, they could be in trouble for endgame.
Basically, I think a lot will depend on the next few days. Will Dgrazian and Asya lead town well and prevent mafia from leading them astray? Will mafia be able to silence the active townies in time? Will town go off their current suspicions and lynch valuable innocents (in particular, superhero and investigator Dukhovni and Isaacg, both of whom I highly trusted), or will they end up with new, better suspicions? Will Austin Fathman be able to make a heroic vigilante kill before a mafia can kill him (I told him that if there's the slightest chance that a person is there to kill him, he should kill them first and explain himself later), or will he finally be killed by mafia after playing 8 games without being the target of a bang/kaboom?
What are people's thoughts?
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