Although I'm still definitely town aligned, I'm starting to kind of root for fmajluf7 despite myself. She's been a great mafia, despite it being her first time, and her allies have been sniped out of nowhere, so now she's all alone against the town. Which is, you know, basically just 4-5 (Lucy, lzahray, Austin Fathman, Adamberg, and kind of Miles) people at this point, but still.
I do think she needs to kill Lucy to win though. Even with lzahray wanting to lynch Lucy, Lucy still has 3 votes, and so she would need at least 1 more person (possibly two to avoid tiebreaks) in order to get that lynch through. Also, I think Lucy will eventually turn her sights on fmajluf7 as a target if left unchecked.
The things is, from Lucy's perspective, she knows that there is one mafia now, but that Sam counted 5 mafia after Shi-ke's lynch. Even if she doesn't trust that Sam was innocent, she should be relatively sure that Shi-ke was guilty, given that dininno was killed by mafia. So, from her perspective (which probably doesn't include suicidal mafia), 4/6 of the lynches since Shi-ke were mafia. (This is close enough to true, since Ama was a known rogue). So, she can look back and see which living players WERE NOT HAPPY about a lot of the various lynches (as it turns out, the answer if fmajluf7). So I think Lucy could potentially target famjluf7 tonight.
Even if she doesn't though, tomorrow Lucy will have another mayoral investigation. Additionally, if fmajluf7 kills Lucy or Austin Fathman at any point, lzahray will get clues for a police officer investigation. So I think the best she may be able to hope for is to kill lzahray today, let Lucy lynch Miles, kill Lucy tomorrow (with a kaboom), and then persuade Asra to make a kill and/or Austin Fathman / Adamberg to lynch a less active player.
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