So here are my thoughts (basically updated priors copied/pasted from earlier today with new data from the kill and investigations):
Priors from earlier today: 1) jamb, for pushing for the lynch on m2w and today claiming 3 investigation results on achester, before he was cleared by Chiller. This seems like a pretty obvious/risky mafia move, but it's possible jamb was counting on getting lynched late-game just for being alive, and wanted to take out a few townies/sow confusion first. 2, 3) I'm pretty convinced that achester/Chiller/lukesci are innocent now since it would be an insanely risky move for mafia to out *two* players to clear achester. That being said, if one of them turns up as mafia, I would potentially be very suspicious of the other two. 4) Julian/anyone else who was roleblocked day 1. Since there was only one kill day 1, anyone who was roleblocked might have been a SK unable to make their kill. We did not see multiple kills today so this evidence becomes weaker. Ie: no roleblocked SKs appeared to have killed today either, so there is likely another reason why they didn't kill day 1. Probably this involves SK/mafia hitting each other (removing a kill) and/or a new SK that is having trouble finding a way to kill cleanly.
Newly sketchy: 5) ET people or people affiliated with/otherwise know how to get to ET. These people are more likely to have committed today's kill. People on this list who don't have alibis are (mostly copying jamb's list and adding some people who I think could probably get to ET): julian, mayars, jamb, obitosigma, me, ritagram, rusch, sammyluo, maxmurin. Of these people, obitosigma, me, and maxmurin have not yet been cleared by investigations. 6) Katie's "sketch list" when she died: jamb, sammyluo, maxmurin. People on this list might have found out ksedlar was sketched out by them, and killed her before she could do anything with that knowledge.
Based on this information, unless new information comes forward I would probably suggest lynching jamb as she fulfills sketch criteria 1, 5, and 6 (she was sketchy going into today for lynching m2w and her investigations on achester, she also lives at ET and could hence easily know how to sneak in and kill ksedlar, and she was on ksedlar's list of potentially sketchy people). Unless there is a very good reason not to, I suggest achester come forward with his half a bit of information so we can see if it is enough of an update to not lynch jamb.
|