Also, as of 3 pmish, Josh and Jason were both asleep (the Jason part is not relevant really). This maybe adds the slightest bit of epsilon in favor of Josh not doing it (as Josh tends to not go super out of his way to make kills, and probably wouldn't bother fake going back to sleep after a kill), but he would go back to sleep for the real reason of wanting a nap. It would have been much more relevant if Jason had checked dorm when he was awake earlier, rather than just stating that he hadn't heard anyone go down the stairs, so Josh probably didn't do it (also, if I were a Josh making a kill, I would try to walk very quietly down the stairs).
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