Here's where I think we stand on Mafia left.
There were six mafia plus one conscript.
Confirmed by investigation (all dead)
1) Rob (confirmed by Daniel's investigator)
2) jwu (confirmed by Daniel's investigator)
3) ebdavis (confirmed by Daniel's investigator)
4) fluffy (confirmed by some investigator whom I have good reason to believe)
There is also at least one Mafia in each of two pairs (all dead)
5) dbr and Steven Valdez (dbr said Steven Valdez PM'ed him saying he was investigator)
6) kezi and bowler (kezi claimed to have proof bowler is mafia. Since bowler was killed, looks like kezi was Mafia)
So, I believe there to be at least six Mafia down, making there be one Mafia left max. A Frame the Innocent or some bit of derpiness might mean there's one less down. The likelihood of there having been a Mafia among the other lynches
Lydia
Austin
Tencate
wcheang
Caroline
Jacky
Andrew
VivianLee
Jacobian
makes me hopeful that the game will end with fluffy's lynch.
Also, I believe it's most like that fluffy did kill jayson lynch and used Manipulate the Press to move it to black hole, which gave him the alibi that he would never go there. It seems likely given how so many investigations on it have given a "no".