Live Action Mafia

It all comes down to this...
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Author:  Alex [ Mon Feb 06, 2012 8:16 pm ]
Post subject:  It all comes down to this...

This is really exciting! It pretty much comes down to tonight's vote. Adam and Lizrita have announced that they're voting for Krue. If Alan is in on this, they lynch Krue 3 to at most 2. Here's what would happen tomorrow.

Case: Town lynches krue tonight
Then, the remaining players are Alan (monster), Lizrita (mad scientist), Dalton (mafia), and Adam (townie). Dalton will need to guess whether Lizrita or Adam is the mad scientist to kill them.

If Dalton kills Lizrita, Alan disappears, and Dalton and Adam vote for each other. It comes down to tiebreaks. Dalton currently has a worse tiebreak due to Lizrita's vote for him on Day 17. So, Town would win, unless either Mafia voted for Adam tonight, in which case Mafia wins.

If Dalton kills Adam, Town wins with Alan's and Lizrita's two votes to one.

If Dalton kills nobody, things get weird. If town lynches Dalton, Town wins. If Town lynches Adam, Town wins if only if Lizrita can hide from Dalton all of the next day. If Town no-lynches, the situation returns to the same one.

Case: Town lynches Adam tonight

If Mafia's Adam vote pushes through, the remaining players are Alan (Monster), Lizrita (Mafia), Dalton (Mafia), and krue (Mafia).

If Lizrita can hide for two days, she and Alan first lynch Dalton using the tiebreak, then lynch Krue for the win. Otherwise, Mafia kill Lizrita and win.

Author:  Alex [ Mon Feb 06, 2012 8:56 pm ]
Post subject: 

In picture form: Image

Author:  Alex [ Mon Feb 06, 2012 9:00 pm ]
Post subject: 

Try two: Mafia game tree.

Can anyone get this embedded?

Author:  Molly K [ Mon Feb 06, 2012 9:41 pm ]
Post subject: 

Funniest thing. All know Liz is mad scientist. Lolz. If she is killed, then mafia win.

Author:  Alex [ Tue Feb 07, 2012 3:30 am ]
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The Day 20 votes sure were weird. Never expected that.
Day 20 votes wrote:
Krue voted for adamyedidia.
Dalton votes for lizrita.
adamyedidia voted for krue.
lizrita voted for adamyedidia.
alan huang voted for krue.

The Mafia split their votes -- if they had both voted adam, krue would have lived and Mafia would have basically won then. I suspect they split their votes to set up tiebreaks against both lizrita and adam, but really it was only the adam's tiebreak that mattered.

The Monster and Mad Scientist also split their votes. Thankfully, they won the timing tiebreak and it didn't matter.

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