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Trap attempts
https://mafia.mit.edu/viewtopic.php?f=265&t=5393
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Author:  brunnerj [ Thu Feb 16, 2017 11:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Trap attempts

day 1:
justin as IC
ksedlar as conspiracy theorist, cynic, desperado, gay knight, gravedigger, group investigator, IC, investigator, priest

Author:  jamb [ Thu Feb 16, 2017 11:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

Justin IC (FAILED)
ksedlar CT (FAILED)
ksedlar Cynic (FAILED)
ksedlar Desperado (FAILED)
ksedlar GN (FAILED)
ksedlar Gravedigger (FAILED)
ksedlar GI (SUCCESS)
ksedlar IC (FAILED)
ksedlar Investigator (FAILED)
ksedlar Priest (FAILED)

You have 9 traps remaining.

Author:  brunnerj [ Fri Feb 17, 2017 10:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

day 2:
justin as IC
lotta as conspiracy theorist
lotta as cynic
lotta as desperado
lotta as gay knight
lotta as gravedigger
lotta as GI
lotta as investigator
lotta as priest

Author:  jamb [ Fri Feb 17, 2017 11:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

mads radios in at 10:55:

mads: serial killer, with p = 0.98
fmajluf - cynic, p ~ (1/14)
blumberg - cynic, p ~ (1/14)
lucy - cynic, p ~ (1/14)
justin - cynic, p ~ (1/14)
ajliu - cynic, p ~ (1/14)
maxmurin - cynic, p ~ (1/14)
pppillai - cynic, p ~ (1/14)
lukesci - cynic, p ~ (1/14)

Sorry for mod delay; you can change traps based on this if you want.

Author:  brunnerj [ Fri Feb 17, 2017 11:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

I change lotta as CT to mads as SK; the other 8 are unchanged

Author:  sammyluo [ Sat Feb 18, 2017 12:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

Justin as IC FAILS
mads as SK SUCCEEDS
lotta as whatever: desperado SUCCEEDS

You have 7 traps remaining and ready to set.

Author:  sammyluo [ Sat Feb 18, 2017 10:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

From mads:

ajliu: serial killer, with p = 0.6
achester: gravedigger with p = 0.4
fmajluf - conspiracy theorist, p ~ (1/14)
justin - conspiracy theorist, p ~ (1/14)
maxmurin - conspiracy theorist, p ~ (1/14)
pppillai - conspiracy theorist, p ~ (1/14)
lukesci - conspiracy theorist, p ~ (1/14)

Author:  brunnerj [ Sat Feb 18, 2017 10:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

day 3:
max as stalker
justin as desperado
ajliu as SK
achester as gravedigger
lukesci as CT
lukesci as gravedigger
lukesci as desperado

Author:  sammyluo [ Sat Feb 18, 2017 11:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

Day 3:

max as stalker SUCCESS
justin as desperado FAIL
ajliu as SK FAIL
achester as gravedigger FAIL
lukesci as FAIL
lukesci as FAIL
lukesci as FAIL

6 traps left

Author:  brunnerj [ Sun Feb 19, 2017 10:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

Nguyenin as investigator
Ritagram as desperado
Ritagram as investigator
Ritagram as superhero
Achester as IC
Dylan as prophet

Author:  brunnerj [ Sun Feb 19, 2017 10:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

Change the achester trap to achester as GI

Author:  jamb [ Mon Feb 20, 2017 12:43 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

Results:

nguyenin Investigator (SUCCESS)
ritagram Desperado (FAILED)
ritagram Investigator (FAILED)
ritagram Superhero (FAILED)
achester Group Investigator (SUCCESS)
dylanhen Prophet (FAILED b/c dead)

You have 4 traps left.

Author:  Justin [ Mon Feb 20, 2017 12:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

nguyenin - investigator
lukesci - superhero
lukesci - investigator
mayars - gravedigger

tentative guesses

Author:  sammyluo [ Mon Feb 20, 2017 1:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

Note that nguyenin has already been trapped as investigator, so you shouldn't set that trap again.

Author:  jamb [ Mon Feb 20, 2017 9:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

mads radios in:

lzahray - superhero, p ~ 1/14
lzahray - stalker, p ~ 1/14
lzahray - priest, p ~ 1/14
lzahray - politician, p ~ 1/14

<message terminated here because you only have four traps and more were sent>

Author:  Justin [ Mon Feb 20, 2017 11:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

lukesci - superhero
lukesci - investigator
ahkim - priest
mayars - gravedigger unless [redacted], else investigator

Author:  jamb [ Mon Feb 20, 2017 11:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

lukesci superhero (FAILED)
lukesci invesitgator (SUCCESS)
ahkim priest (FAILED)
mayars gravedigger (SUCCESS)

You have two traps left.

Author:  Justin [ Tue Feb 21, 2017 8:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

ahkim - cynic
lzahray - group investigator

ahkim almost certainly not changing, lzahray tentative.

Author:  sammyluo [ Tue Feb 21, 2017 11:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

ahkim - cynic SUCCESS
lzahray - group investigator SUCCESS

Congrats, you're done! 10/10. Feel free to go work on your other goals (or do other fun things if you have none left)

Author:  Justin [ Tue Feb 21, 2017 11:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

Go team!

Author:  mads [ Wed Feb 22, 2017 12:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Trap attempts

amazing

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